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Midseason Baseball
I'm taking a look back today at my predictions for the 2nd half of the 1999 season. The analysis is in bold
Perfect Game Baseball
We're at the halfway point of the '99 season. While home runs aren't that big of deal anymore, there are better divsion races. Is Pedro going to win 30 games? Will Sammy Sosa hit 72? Is it possible the Astros won't win the Central?
Will Pedro win 30?
Pedro Martinez is the best pitcher in the league no doubt but will he win 30 games? Probably not. He's got 15 wins right now but he won't get 15 in the second half. My guess: he'll end up with 26, the best in the big leagues.
So I was right and wrong. Pedro didn't get 30, but didn't get 26 either. He ended up with 23 and won the Cy Young Award.
Sammy with 70? (or 60)
Sammy Sosa will get nowhere near 72. But he will hit between 61-64.
I was nearly wrong here. Sosa had 55 and looked as if he was going to challenge 70, but then slumped. He ended up with 63.
Division Races
There is really no suspense here, especially in the AL Central where the Indians will be the best team in the league, but in the worst division in baseball. In the East it will be the Yankees and the Rangers out of the West with Boston getting the Wild Card
In the NL it will be Houston, San Fransisco, and the Braves (and it won't even be close). In the Wild Card it will be close with the Mets getting to the postseason.
Again another prediction with mixed results. I predicted all the playoff teams right except for the Giants. In the NL East and Central it actually was close, with the Central coming down to the last day of the season.
World Champs.
Here Houston will get to the NLCS (finnally) along with the Braves. In the AL it will be Cleveland vs. New York with Cleveland winning. In the World Series Houston (yes, Houston) will defeat Cleveland in 7 with Billy Wagner being the difference. Jeff Bagwell will hit 6 home runs during the series.
So I was extremely wrong.